V-Lab
Onity Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
52.59%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Week
52.68%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
53.02%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 312% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0752 | 8.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0111 | 8.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9666 | 512.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0345 | 11.97*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
135 days
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