V-Lab
Onity Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
50.09%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
50.21%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
50.65%
increased by 0.30%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 311% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0759 | 8.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0110 | 8.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9667 | 512.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0341 | 11.87*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
130 days
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