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Onity Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

48.93%

increased by 3.15%

1 Week

49.43%

increased by 3.65%

1 Month

51.09%

increased by 5.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onity Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.45 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-lifev = 3.45 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst13.9196
0.97
αARCH0.0914
7.21***
βGARCH0.9777
42.77***
νDF3.4493
3.79***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.9196
0.97
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0914
7.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9777
42.77***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4493
3.79***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days