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V-Lab

Onity Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

47.13%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

47.72%

increased by 0.72%

1 Month

49.73%

increased by 2.73%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onity Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.9890
3.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0913
28.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9779
170.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4415
15.23***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days