V-Lab
Onity Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
47.13%
increased by 0.13%
1 Week
47.72%
increased by 0.72%
1 Month
49.73%
increased by 2.73%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 13.9890 | 3.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0913 | 28.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9779 | 170.90*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.4415 | 15.23*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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