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BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

46.30%

decreased by 2.35%

1 Week

46.26%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

46.12%

decreased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 32-day half-lifev = 2.95 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.1538
1.19
αARCH0.0472
2.06**
βGARCH0.9785
44.50***
νDF2.9502
3.47***

0.978

Persistence

32d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.1538
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
2.06**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9785
44.50***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9502
3.47***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

32 days