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V-Lab

NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

76.79%

increased by 2.43%

1 Week

80.52%

increased by 6.16%

1 Month

86.11%

increased by 11.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.84 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

31.8522
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0727
1.61
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8383
22.25***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8443
0.52

Persistence:

0.838

Half-life:

4 days