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V-Lab
V-Lab

NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

83.65%

decreased by 2.86%

1 Week

84.01%

decreased by 2.50%

1 Month

84.67%

decreased by 1.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 4.15 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst28.8220
0.55
αARCH0.0694
0.49
βGARCH0.8732
8.02***
νDF4.1460
0.14

0.873

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

28.8220
0.55
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0694
0.49
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8732
8.02***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1460
0.14

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days