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V-Lab
V-Lab

NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

81.12%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

81.40%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

81.90%

increased by 0.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of NextBoat Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 13, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.86 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 4.86 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run28.2075
0.72
αscore0.0765
0.50
βpersistence0.8576
4.95***
νDF4.8588
0.12

0.858

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

28.2075
0.72
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0765
0.50
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8576
4.95***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8588
0.12

Persistence:

0.858

Half-life:

5 days