NextBoat Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
57.72%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
58.07%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
59.47%
increased by 1.26%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1997 trading days (~7.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0864 | 3.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0298 | 1.82* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9591 | 79.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0216 | 0.75 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1997 days
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equities