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V-Lab

Vivakor Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

385.11%

decreased by 35.01%

1 Week

388.37%

decreased by 31.75%

1 Month

401.14%

decreased by 18.98%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
11.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3440
15.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6416
56.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0289
0.75

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-