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V-Lab

Vivakor Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

205.86%

decreased by 16.69%

1 Week

191.56%

decreased by 30.99%

1 Month

162.65%

decreased by 59.90%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 0.93 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7983
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3606
23.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6032
38.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0137
0.77
δ

power

Transformation power

0.9337
10.08***

Persistence:

0.890

Half-life:

6 days