Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Vivakor Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

132.79%

decreased by 11.07%

1 Week

141.96%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Month

173.88%

increased by 30.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.73*
αARCH0.2261
1.77*
βGARCH0.7468
8.26***
γleverage0.0541
0.28

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.73*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2261
1.77*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7468
8.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0541
0.28

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-