V-Lab
Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
188.29%
increased by 67.99%
1 Week
183.36%
increased by 63.06%
1 Month
167.43%
increased by 47.13%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1569 | 12.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1094 | 3.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8498 | 95.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0031 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
Other Modular Medical Inc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities