V-Lab
Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
154.06%
decreased by 11.03%
1 Week
151.18%
decreased by 13.91%
1 Month
142.06%
decreased by 23.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1687 | 12.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1100 | 3.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8489 | 95.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0024 | -0.04 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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