Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
127.40%
decreased by 5.74%
1 Week
127.10%
decreased by 6.04%
1 Month
126.06%
decreased by 7.08%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4771 | 2.29** |
| αARCH | 0.1064 | 1.06 |
| βGARCH | 0.8846 | 32.22*** |
| γleverage | -0.0327 | -0.21 |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4771 | 2.29** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1064 | 1.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8846 | 32.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0327 | -0.21 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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