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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

188.29%

increased by 67.99%

1 Week

183.36%

increased by 63.06%

1 Month

167.43%

increased by 47.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1569
12.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1094
3.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8498
95.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0031
-0.05

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days