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Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

127.40%

decreased by 5.74%

1 Week

127.10%

decreased by 6.04%

1 Month

126.06%

decreased by 7.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4771
2.29**
αARCH0.1064
1.06
βGARCH0.8846
32.22***
γleverage-0.0327
-0.21

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4771
2.29**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1064
1.06
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8846
32.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0327
-0.21

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days