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Modular Medical Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

126.99%

decreased by 22.79%

1 Week

119.38%

decreased by 30.40%

1 Month

108.50%

decreased by 41.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst7.4915
4.42***
αARCH0.1683
4.47***
βGARCH0.6303
19.66***
γleverage2.2530
0.96

0.799

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.4915
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1683
4.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6303
19.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

2.2530
0.96

Persistence:

0.799

Half-life:

3 days