Modular Medical Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
126.99%
decreased by 22.79%
1 Week
119.38%
decreased by 30.40%
1 Month
108.50%
decreased by 41.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 7.4915 | 4.42*** |
| αARCH | 0.1683 | 4.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6303 | 19.66*** |
| γleverage | 2.2530 | 0.96 |
0.799
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 7.4915 | 4.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1683 | 4.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6303 | 19.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 2.2530 | 0.96 |
Persistence:
0.799
Half-life:
3 days
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