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V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

27.84%

increased by 0.69%

1 Week

27.97%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

28.45%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.80) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0044
1.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0669
39.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9224
504.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8034
26.41***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days