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Home Depot Inc/The AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

26.05%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

26.22%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

26.86%

increased by 0.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.80) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0048
0.39
αARCH0.0666
9.85***
βGARCH0.9226
126.11***
γleverage0.7983
6.59***

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0048
0.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0666
9.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9226
126.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.7983
6.59***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days