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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.48%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

26.64%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Month

27.24%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.31) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0569
11.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0699
30.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9138
333.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3062
6.60***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days