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Walt Disney Co/The AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

24.91%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

25.14%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

25.94%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC

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graph of Walt Disney Co/The AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0568
3.00***
αARCH0.0697
7.56***
βGARCH0.9139
83.58***
γleverage0.3054
1.65*

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0568
3.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0697
7.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9139
83.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3054
1.65*

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days