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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.28%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Week

27.39%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

27.79%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0438
10.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0264
14.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9368
493.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0520
9.62***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days