V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
27.28%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Week
27.39%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
27.79%
decreased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0438 | 10.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0264 | 14.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9368 | 493.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0520 | 9.62*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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