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Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

25.29%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

25.45%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

26.03%

increased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 198% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 198% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0435
2.57**
αARCH0.0262
3.51***
βGARCH0.9372
124.05***
γleverage0.0518
2.41**

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0435
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0262
3.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9372
124.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0518
2.41**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days