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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

26.44%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

26.57%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

27.05%

increased by 0.62%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0440
10.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
14.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9366
490.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0521
9.58***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days