Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
26.64%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
26.77%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
27.23%
increased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0440 | 10.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0266 | 14.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9365 | 489.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0521 | 9.58*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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