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Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.27%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

25.44%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

26.03%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 197% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0438
2.57**
αARCH0.0264
3.52***
βGARCH0.9368
123.32***
γleverage0.0520
2.41**

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0438
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0264
3.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9368
123.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0520
2.41**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days