V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.27%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
25.44%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
26.03%
increased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 197% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0438 | 2.57** |
| αARCH | 0.0264 | 3.52*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9368 | 123.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.0520 | 2.41** |
0.989
Persistence64d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0438 | 2.57** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0264 | 3.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9368 | 123.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0520 | 2.41** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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