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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

26.64%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

26.77%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

27.23%

increased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0440
10.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
14.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9365
489.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0521
9.58***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days