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Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

27.77%

increased by 1.86%

1 Week

27.87%

increased by 1.96%

1 Month

28.22%

increased by 2.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 197% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 197% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0437
2.57**
αARCH0.0263
3.52***
βGARCH0.9369
123.49***
γleverage0.0520
2.41**

0.989

Persistence

64d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0437
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0263
3.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9369
123.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0520
2.41**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days