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Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026

1 Day

21.82%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

22.08%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

23.04%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/03/2024

to

11/03/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 196% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0438
2.57**
αARCH0.0264
3.53***
βGARCH0.9368
123.15***
γleverage0.0518
2.40**

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0438
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0264
3.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9368
123.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0518
2.40**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days