Walt Disney Co/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
26.44%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
26.57%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
27.05%
increased by 0.62%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 196% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0440 | 10.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0266 | 14.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9366 | 490.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0521 | 9.58*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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