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V-Lab

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

24.32%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

24.34%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Month

24.40%

decreased by 0.76%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ExxonMobil Holdings Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0252
20.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0434
19.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9244
528.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0443
9.10***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days