V-Lab
Virtuix Holdings Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
109.45%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Week
109.14%
decreased by 2.08%
1 Month
108.47%
decreased by 2.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.44 |
| αARCH | 0.0255 | 0.30 |
| βGARCH | 0.8311 | 10.58*** |
| γleverage | 0.0701 | 0.24 |
0.892
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0255 | 0.30 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8311 | 10.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0701 | 0.24 |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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