V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
29.49%
increased by 4.43%
1 Week
29.42%
increased by 4.36%
1 Month
29.20%
increased by 4.14%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 127% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0698 | 16.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0400 | 14.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9121 | 293.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0509 | 10.28*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
Other Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities