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V-Lab

Wal-Mart Stores Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

26.21%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

26.24%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Month

26.36%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wal-Mart Stores Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 92 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 138% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0237
11.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0295
16.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9426
450.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0408
10.25***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

92 days