V-Lab
Alphabet Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
29.38%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
29.48%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Month
29.80%
increased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 19, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0970 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0330 | 3.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9219 | 49.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0402 | 1.64 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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