V-Lab
RF Industries Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
89.10%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
89.12%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
89.20%
decreased by 0.30%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 342 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0708 | 8.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0267 | 11.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9710 | 565.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0006 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
342 days
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