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V-Lab

RF Industries Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

97.10%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

97.09%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

97.06%

decreased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RF Industries Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 351 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0703
8.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0267
11.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9710
566.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0006
0.13

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

351 days