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Obsidian Therapeutics Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

110.71%

decreased by 1.33%

1 Week

111.93%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

114.67%

increased by 2.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Obsidian Therapeutics Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2019 to Sep 18, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.80*
αARCH0.0307
0.92
βGARCH0.8748
14.08***
γleverage0.0075
0.17

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.80*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0307
0.92
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8748
14.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0075
0.17

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days