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V-Lab

Galera Therapeutics Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

161.21%

increased by 39.51%

1 Week

120.13%

decreased by 1.57%

1 Month

72.68%

decreased by 49.02%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Galera Therapeutics Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8458
5.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1327
3.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5347
3.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8551
-0.81
γ24.4116
1.12
γ3-2.4653
-0.81
γ4-3.9640
-1.52
γ58.6992
2.25**
γ6-7.5774
-1.75*
γ73.8246
1.08
γ8-3.7426
-1.18
γ98.1149
2.39**
γ10-15.7909
-4.07***

Persistence:

0.667

Half-life:

2 days