V-Lab
Galera Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
111.19%
decreased by 18.24%
1 Week
116.44%
decreased by 12.99%
1 Month
123.84%
decreased by 5.59%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 65.1590 | 4.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1519 | 8.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8247 | 24.29*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.6527 | 9.71*** |
Persistence:
0.825
Half-life:
4 days
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