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V-Lab

Galera Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

193.16%

increased by 43.53%

1 Week

175.39%

increased by 25.76%

1 Month

144.81%

decreased by 4.82%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:25 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Galera Therapeutics Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.72 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

59.5230
4.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1488
7.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8252
22.66***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7180
8.13***

Persistence:

0.825

Half-life:

4 days