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Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

96.89%

increased by 4.49%

1 Week

110.87%

increased by 18.47%

1 Month

128.34%

increased by 35.94%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.05 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 3.05 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst75.0751
1.80*
αARCH0.1700
3.20***
βGARCH0.8172
8.18***
νDF3.0507
2.43**

0.817

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

75.0751
1.80*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1700
3.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8172
8.18***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0507
2.43**

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days