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Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

95.59%

decreased by 11.85%

1 Week

107.30%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

123.07%

increased by 15.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.30 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.30 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run72.0130
2.06**
αscore0.1679
3.49***
βpersistence0.8300
10.32***
νDF3.2967
2.22**

0.830

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

72.0130
2.06**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1679
3.49***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8300
10.32***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2967
2.22**

Persistence:

0.830

Half-life:

4 days