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Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

107.07%

decreased by 20.53%

1 Week

116.97%

decreased by 10.63%

1 Month

129.88%

increased by 2.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 3.06 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst74.3188
1.82*
αARCH0.1706
3.22***
βGARCH0.8167
8.29***
νDF3.0639
2.43**

0.817

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

74.3188
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1706
3.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8167
8.29***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0639
2.43**

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days