V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
105.44%
decreased by 20.87%
1 Week
116.22%
decreased by 10.09%
1 Month
130.29%
increased by 3.98%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 75.4822 | 7.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1706 | 12.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8190 | 32.94*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0578 | 9.72*** |
Persistence:
0.819
Half-life:
3 days
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