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V-Lab

Azio AI Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

121.37%

increased by 12.89%

1 Week

124.31%

increased by 15.83%

1 Month

131.92%

increased by 23.44%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 72% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3834
16.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4888
11.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1604
-7.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0958
0.50
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7670
1.64

Persistence:

0.792

Half-life:

3 days