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V-Lab

Azio AI Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

92.13%

decreased by 9.55%

1 Week

106.83%

increased by 5.15%

1 Month

126.29%

increased by 24.61%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azio AI Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 73% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3828
16.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4887
11.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1618
-7.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0968
0.50
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7648
1.63

Persistence:

0.791

Half-life:

3 days