V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
121.37%
1 Week
124.31%
1 Month
131.92%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 72% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3834 | 16.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4888 | 11.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1604 | -7.68*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0958 | 0.50 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7670 | 1.64 |
Persistence:
0.792
Half-life:
3 days
Other Azio AI Holdings Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities