V-Lab
Azio AI Holdings Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
100.47%
1 Week
104.48%
1 Month
113.29%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. The volatility power δ = 1.13 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 1.23 |
| αARCH | 0.2828 | 7.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6733 | 12.57*** |
| γleverage | 0.0571 | 0.91 |
| δpower | 1.1345 | 2.76*** |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 1.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2828 | 7.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6733 | 12.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0571 | 0.91 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1345 | 2.76*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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