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V-Lab

Niki BioSolutions Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

114.69%

decreased by 6.73%

1 Week

113.55%

decreased by 7.87%

1 Month

111.98%

decreased by 9.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 0.85 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifeδ = 0.85 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
2.13**
αARCH0.3105
6.51***
βGARCH0.5603
7.76***
γleverage-0.0086
-0.09
δpower0.8457
3.73***

0.807

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
2.13**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3105
6.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5603
7.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0086
-0.09
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8457
3.73***

Persistence:

0.807

Half-life:

3 days