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Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

90.41%

increased by 12.91%

1 Week

90.42%

increased by 12.92%

1 Month

90.46%

increased by 12.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 4251361 trading days (~16870.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. The volatility power δ = 2.71 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~4251361 daysδ = 2.71 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
0.78
αARCH0.0867
1.91*
βGARCH0.8764
23.68***
γleverage-0.1346
-0.91
δpower2.7123
2.47**

1.000

Persistence

4251361d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
0.78
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0867
1.91*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8764
23.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1346
-0.91
δ

power

Transformation power

2.7123
2.47**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

4251361 days