Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
155.29%
1 Week
155.13%
1 Month
154.52%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 0.2378 | 2.32** |
| αscore | 0.1049 | 16.72*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9990 | 67.63*** |
| νDF | 2.4081 | 31.12*** |
0.999
Persistence693d
Half-lifeGAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 0.2378 | 2.32** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1049 | 16.72*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 67.63*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.4081 | 31.12*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
Other Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities