V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
1,210.43%
decreased by 138.94%
1 Week
1,206.67%
decreased by 142.70%
1 Month
1,191.80%
decreased by 157.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 209.2372 | 2.77*** |
| αARCH | 0.0872 | 17.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9968 | 814.35*** |
| νDF | 2.0020 |
0.997
Persistence214d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 209.2372 | 2.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0872 | 17.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9968 | 814.35*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0020 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
214 days
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