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Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

155.29%

decreased by 21.12%

1 Week

155.13%

decreased by 21.28%

1 Month

154.52%

decreased by 21.89%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~693 daysv = 2.41 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run0.2378
2.32**
αscore0.1049
16.72***
βpersistence0.9990
67.63***
νDF2.4081
31.12***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

0.2378
2.32**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1049
16.72***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9990
67.63***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.4081
31.12***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days