V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
101.63%
decreased by 11.08%
1 Week
115.85%
increased by 3.14%
1 Month
188.17%
increased by 75.46%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.080 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7786 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3142 | 3.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7663 | 16.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.3640 | -1.51 |
Persistence:
1.080
Half-life:
-
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