Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
115.39%
decreased by 10.20%
1 Week
120.13%
decreased by 5.46%
1 Month
129.10%
increased by 3.51%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 71 | |
| αARCH | 0.2298 | 3.79*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7041 | 11.44*** |
| γleverage | -0.1015 | -0.75 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.28 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0009 | 0.02 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8644 | 1.68* |
0.883
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2298 | 3.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7041 | 11.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1015 | -0.75 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.28 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0009 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8644 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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