V-Lab
ZJK Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
80.66%
1 Week
90.07%
1 Month
92.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 91 | |
| αARCH | 0.5000 | 4.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0111 | 0.81 |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -4.92*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.96 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.7106 | 2.97*** |
0.261
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 4.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0111 | 0.81 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -4.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.96 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7106 | 2.97*** |
Persistence:
0.261
Half-life:
1 days
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