V-Lab
ZJK Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
77.75%
1 Week
88.65%
1 Month
92.19%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5113 | 16.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0286 | 3.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -15.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0208 | 1.54 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6782 | 4.15*** |
Persistence:
0.290
Half-life:
1 days
Other ZJK Industrial Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities