V-Lab
ZJK Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
80.13%
1 Week
89.16%
1 Month
92.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5070 | 14.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0161 | 3.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -13.98*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0327 | 1.59 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6655 | 3.74*** |
Persistence:
0.273
Half-life:
1 days
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