ZJK Industrial Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
81.28%
1 Week
93.27%
1 Month
95.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5084 | 15.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0188 | 3.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -14.44*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0302 | 1.73* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6798 | 4.08*** |
Persistence:
0.277
Half-life:
1 days
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