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V-Lab

CID Holdco Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

80.98%

increased by 7.77%

1 Week

85,296,849.18%

increased by 85,296,775.97%

1 Month

1,277,840,365,616,926,300,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 1,277,840,365,616,926,300,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.77
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1859
3.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.04
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4767
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.093

Half-life:

0 days