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CID Holdco Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

238.10%

decreased by 6.25%

1 Week

237.76%

decreased by 6.59%

1 Month

236.63%

decreased by 7.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.0194
0.44
βGARCH0.8116
46.81***
γleverage0.2845
3.22***
λ₁tau intercept212.7449

0.973

Persistence

26d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0194
0.44
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8116
46.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2845
3.22***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

212.7449

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days