V-Lab
CID Holdco Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
147.59%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
173.38%
increased by 25.49%
1 Month
181.31%
increased by 33.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 169% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5183 | 22.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3254 | -7.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 133.9544 |
Persistence:
0.356
Half-life:
1 days
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