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CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

199.08%

decreased by 15.12%

1 Week

200.54%

decreased by 13.66%

1 Month

205.43%

decreased by 8.77%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.51
αARCH0.0852
1.05
βGARCH0.8236
10.76***
γleverage0.1339
0.35

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0852
1.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8236
10.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1339
0.35

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days