V-Lab
CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
274.61%
decreased by 28.23%
1 Week
251.16%
decreased by 51.68%
1 Month
193.09%
decreased by 109.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.05** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8085 | 79.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1674 | 2.57** |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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