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CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

209.40%

decreased by 5.33%

1 Week

203.97%

decreased by 10.76%

1 Month

187.85%

decreased by 26.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.51
αARCH0.0322
0.62
βGARCH0.7780
14.55***
γleverage0.2680
0.70

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0322
0.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7780
14.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2680
0.70

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days