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CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

235.37%

decreased by 21.45%

1 Week

235.78%

decreased by 21.04%

1 Month

237.20%

decreased by 19.62%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.43
αARCH0.0782
0.91
βGARCH0.8190
9.36***
γleverage0.1636
0.37

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.43
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0782
0.91
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8190
9.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1636
0.37

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days