CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
199.08%
decreased by 15.12%
1 Week
200.54%
decreased by 13.66%
1 Month
205.43%
decreased by 8.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.51 |
| αARCH | 0.0852 | 1.05 |
| βGARCH | 0.8236 | 10.76*** |
| γleverage | 0.1339 | 0.35 |
0.976
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.51 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0852 | 1.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8236 | 10.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1339 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
Other CID Holdco Inc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities