V-Lab
CID Holdco Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
102.53%
increased by 3.36%
1 Week
100.68%
increased by 1.51%
1 Month
97.34%
decreased by 1.83%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.10** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7954 | 72.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1284 | 1.98** |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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