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V-Lab

Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

39.74%

increased by 3.45%

1 Week

39.59%

increased by 3.30%

1 Month

39.08%

increased by 2.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 191% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1639
21.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0553
16.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8619
212.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1055
11.94***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days