V-Lab
Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
40.06%
decreased by 2.42%
1 Week
39.91%
decreased by 2.57%
1 Month
39.42%
decreased by 3.06%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1551 | 20.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0528 | 16.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8676 | 215.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1031 | 12.01*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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