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Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

43.47%

increased by 0.30%

1 Week

43.14%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

42.00%

decreased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 181% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 181% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1582
5.40***
αARCH0.0554
4.04***
βGARCH0.8654
54.79***
γleverage0.1003
2.91***

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1582
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0554
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8654
54.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1003
2.91***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days