V-Lab
Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
39.74%
increased by 3.45%
1 Week
39.59%
increased by 3.30%
1 Month
39.08%
increased by 2.79%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 191% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1639 | 21.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0553 | 16.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8619 | 212.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1055 | 11.94*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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