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V-Lab

Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

40.06%

decreased by 2.42%

1 Week

39.91%

decreased by 2.57%

1 Month

39.42%

decreased by 3.06%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1551
20.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0528
16.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8676
215.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1031
12.01***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days