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Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

31.25%

increased by 0.43%

1 Week

31.60%

increased by 0.78%

1 Month

32.75%

increased by 1.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 181% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 181% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1592
5.41***
αARCH0.0557
4.04***
βGARCH0.8646
54.32***
γleverage0.1006
2.90***

0.971

Persistence

23d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1592
5.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0557
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8646
54.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1006
2.90***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days