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V-Lab

Interactive Brokers Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

41.01%

increased by 3.65%

1 Week

41.23%

increased by 3.87%

1 Month

41.75%

increased by 4.39%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 274% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0591
13.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6949
56.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1623
18.75***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0910
1.54
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0924
2.15**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8864
15.77***

Persistence:

0.835

Half-life:

4 days