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V-Lab

Interactive Brokers Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

37.93%

decreased by 2.95%

1 Week

38.84%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Month

40.23%

decreased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Interactive Brokers Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 287% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0570
13.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6973
56.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1637
18.97***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0873
1.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0923
2.15**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8878
15.89***

Persistence:

0.836

Half-life:

4 days