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V-Lab

Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

10.16%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

11.41%

increased by 1.05%

1 Month

11.78%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0852
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5618
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000

Persistence:

0.335

Half-life:

1 days