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V-Lab
V-Lab

Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

32.98%

increased by 0.56%

1 Week

33.30%

increased by 0.88%

1 Month

28.93%

decreased by 3.49%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.01
βGARCH0.0386
0.43
γleverage0.0053
2.03**
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0291
8.34***
λ₃tau persistence0.9104
87.23***

0.041

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0386
0.43
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0053
2.03**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0291
8.34***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9104
87.23***

Persistence:

0.041

Half-life:

0 days