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V-Lab

Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

12.55%

decreased by 7.96%

1 Week

9.35%

decreased by 11.16%

1 Month

6.38%

decreased by 14.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Wealthfront Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0240
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3407
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3939
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0825
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0038
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0075

Persistence:

0.562

Half-life:

1 days