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V-Lab

Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

162.61%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Week

180.80%

increased by 16.15%

1 Month

194.54%

increased by 29.89%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 10:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1433
23.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5677
40.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0494
4.32***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0539
1.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
3.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9831
176.71***

Persistence:

0.736

Half-life:

2 days