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V-Lab

Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

170.15%

decreased by 4.45%

1 Week

180.60%

increased by 6.00%

1 Month

188.13%

increased by 13.53%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1432
23.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5700
40.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0493
4.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0543
1.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0154
3.08***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9832
179.58***

Persistence:

0.738

Half-life:

2 days