V-Lab
Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
170.15%
decreased by 4.45%
1 Week
180.60%
increased by 6.00%
1 Month
188.13%
increased by 13.53%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 09:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 22, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1432 | 23.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5700 | 40.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0493 | 4.33*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0543 | 1.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0154 | 3.08*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9832 | 179.58*** |
Persistence:
0.738
Half-life:
2 days
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