V-Lab
Cyanotech Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
162.61%
decreased by 2.04%
1 Week
180.80%
increased by 16.15%
1 Month
194.54%
increased by 29.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 10:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 22, 1991 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1433 | 23.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5677 | 40.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0494 | 4.32*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0539 | 1.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0157 | 3.06*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9831 | 176.71*** |
Persistence:
0.736
Half-life:
2 days
Other Cyanotech Corp Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities