Skip to main content
V-Lab

ABM Industries Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

23.48%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Week

26.16%

increased by 2.66%

1 Month

28.30%

increased by 4.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ABM Industries Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1578
19.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4973
21.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0557
4.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2862
0.71
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2945
0.73
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6297
1.22

Persistence:

0.683

Half-life:

2 days