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V-Lab

ABM Industries Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

24.90%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

27.17%

increased by 1.58%

1 Month

29.42%

increased by 3.83%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ABM Industries Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1571
19.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4964
21.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0566
4.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2875
0.70
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2968
0.72
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6275
1.20

Persistence:

0.682

Half-life:

2 days