V-Lab
ABM Industries Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
23.67%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
26.32%
increased by 2.61%
1 Month
29.10%
increased by 5.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1572 | 19.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4966 | 21.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0573 | 4.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2866 | 0.70 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2957 | 0.73 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6289 | 1.22 |
Persistence:
0.682
Half-life:
2 days
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