Skip to main content
V-Lab

Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

61.70%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Week

67.00%

increased by 4.36%

1 Month

77.51%

increased by 14.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 14% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1298
27.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7767
111.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0163
-2.25**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3763
1.34
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3577
1.48
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5644
1.86*

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days