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V-Lab

Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

56.00%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

60.51%

increased by 3.37%

1 Month

69.55%

increased by 12.41%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.1253
5.73***
βGARCH0.7806
27.04***
γleverage-0.0140
-0.47
λ₁tau intercept2.4802
0.91
λ₂forecast adj.0.3733
1.00
λ₃tau persistence0.5444
1.18

0.899

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
5.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7806
27.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0140
-0.47
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4802
0.91
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3733
1.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5444
1.18

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days