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V-Lab

Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

70.01%

decreased by 3.20%

1 Week

73.47%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

78.73%

increased by 5.52%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 14% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1292
27.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7770
111.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0163
-2.25**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.3691
1.34
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3582
1.48
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5646
1.86*

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days