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V-Lab

Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

64.05%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

67.36%

increased by 3.01%

1 Month

74.48%

increased by 10.13%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.1251
5.72***
βGARCH0.7801
26.89***
γleverage-0.0138
-0.46
λ₁tau intercept2.4722
0.91
λ₂forecast adj.0.3727
1.00
λ₃tau persistence0.5458
1.19

0.898

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1251
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7801
26.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0138
-0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4722
0.91
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3727
1.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5458
1.19

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days