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V-Lab

Big Sky Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

64.07%

decreased by 1.88%

1 Week

65.69%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

71.16%

increased by 5.21%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Big Sky Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7075
4.61***
αARCH0.0956
4.35***
βGARCH0.8826
55.94***
γleverage0.0087
0.22

0.983

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7075
4.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0956
4.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8826
55.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0087
0.22

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

39 days