V-Lab
Big Sky Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
66.82%
decreased by 2.74%
1 Week
68.29%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Month
73.29%
increased by 3.73%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7067 | 18.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0967 | 17.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8823 | 222.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0074 | 0.76 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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