Big Sky Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
57.18%
decreased by 1.84%
1 Week
59.24%
increased by 0.22%
1 Month
66.06%
increased by 7.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7091 | 18.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0969 | 17.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8817 | 221.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0080 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
39 days
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