Big Sky Industrial Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.89%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Week
52.44%
increased by 1.38%
1 Month
60.69%
increased by 9.63%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 40-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6971 | 4.57*** |
| αARCH | 0.0950 | 4.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8836 | 56.39*** |
| γleverage | 0.0084 | 0.22 |
0.983
Persistence40d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6971 | 4.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0950 | 4.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8836 | 56.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0084 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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