RTX Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
21.09%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
21.35%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
22.26%
increased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0417 | 4.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.0083 | 1.47 |
| βGARCH | 0.9251 | 135.23*** |
| γleverage | 0.1103 | 6.47*** |
0.989
Persistence60d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0417 | 4.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0083 | 1.47 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9251 | 135.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1103 | 6.47*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
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