V-Lab
RTX Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.11%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
24.28%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
24.87%
increased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0416 | 19.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0082 | 5.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9250 | 539.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1112 | 25.93*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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