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V-Lab

RTX Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

21.09%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

21.35%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

22.26%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0417
4.96***
αARCH0.0083
1.47
βGARCH0.9251
135.23***
γleverage0.1103
6.47***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0417
4.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0083
1.47
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9251
135.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1103
6.47***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days