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V-Lab
V-Lab

RTX Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

22.72%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

22.92%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

23.65%

increased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0417
4.94***
αARCH0.0083
1.46
βGARCH0.9251
135.03***
γleverage0.1104
6.47***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0417
4.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0083
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9251
135.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1104
6.47***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days