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V-Lab

RTX Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

24.56%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

24.70%

decreased by 0.57%

1 Month

25.24%

decreased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0417
4.92***
αARCH0.0082
1.43
βGARCH0.9252
135.30***
γleverage0.1106
6.49***

0.989

Persistence

61d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0417
4.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0082
1.43
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9252
135.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1106
6.49***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days