RTX Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
28.73%
decreased by 1.01%
1 Week
28.67%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Month
28.48%
decreased by 1.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 71% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 71% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0669 | 8.90*** |
| αARCH | 0.1365 | 10.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7927 | 80.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.0969 | 3.86*** |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0669 | 8.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1365 | 10.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7927 | 80.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0969 | 3.86*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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