V-Lab
RTX Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
26.10%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Week
26.16%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Month
26.37%
decreased by 1.47%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 72% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0667 | 8.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1354 | 10.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7932 | 80.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0982 | 3.91*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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