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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

15.31%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

15.53%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

16.34%

increased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 42% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~100 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 42% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0199
6.23***
αARCH0.1240
10.30***
βGARCH0.8429
101.85***
γleverage0.0523
2.54**

0.993

Persistence

100d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0199
6.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1240
10.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8429
101.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0523
2.54**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

100 days