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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

29.74%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

29.75%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Month

29.78%

decreased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 196 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 235% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0135
14.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0271
20.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9374
682.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0638
16.00***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

196 days