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V-Lab
V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

18.00%

increased by 0.21%

1 Week

18.09%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

18.43%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 131 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~131 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0132
4.41***
αARCH0.0605
9.31***
βGARCH0.9343
148.32***

0.995

Persistence

131d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0132
4.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0605
9.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9343
148.32***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

131 days