V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
18.69%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Week
19.53%
increased by 0.39%
1 Month
20.85%
increased by 1.71%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 389% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 389% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 61 | |
| αARCH | 0.0325 | 3.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7842 | 30.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.1263 | 5.78*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0051 | 1.64 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0444 | 3.15*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9531 | 63.93*** |
0.880
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0325 | 3.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7842 | 30.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1263 | 5.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0051 | 1.64 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0444 | 3.15*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9531 | 63.93*** |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
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