PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
29.41%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Week
28.24%
decreased by 3.60%
1 Month
25.94%
decreased by 5.90%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 396% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0321 | 13.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7836 | 88.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1273 | 24.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0050 | 2.18** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0447 | 3.51*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9529 | 68.55*** |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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