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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

29.41%

decreased by 2.43%

1 Week

28.24%

decreased by 3.60%

1 Month

25.94%

decreased by 5.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 396% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0321
13.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7836
88.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1273
24.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0050
2.18**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0447
3.51***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9529
68.55***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days