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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

21.82%

increased by 2.25%

1 Week

22.08%

increased by 2.51%

1 Month

22.75%

increased by 3.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 393% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0323
13.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7838
88.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1268
24.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0050
2.20**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0445
3.51***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9531
69.05***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days