V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
21.13%
decreased by 0.79%
1 Week
21.66%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Month
22.74%
increased by 0.82%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0310 | 13.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7869 | 89.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1267 | 24.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0049 | 2.15** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0452 | 3.47*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9526 | 67.26*** |
Persistence:
0.881
Half-life:
5 days
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