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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

20.15%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

20.37%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

20.79%

increased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 390% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 390% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0323
3.55***
βGARCH0.7844
30.32***
γleverage0.1261
5.79***
λ₁tau intercept0.0050
1.64
λ₂forecast adj.0.0440
3.17***
λ₃tau persistence0.9535
64.91***

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0323
3.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7844
30.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1261
5.79***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0050
1.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0440
3.17***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9535
64.91***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days