Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

18.69%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

19.53%

increased by 0.39%

1 Month

20.85%

increased by 1.71%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 389% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 389% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0325
3.56***
βGARCH0.7842
30.27***
γleverage0.1263
5.78***
λ₁tau intercept0.0051
1.64
λ₂forecast adj.0.0444
3.15***
λ₃tau persistence0.9531
63.93***

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0325
3.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7842
30.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1263
5.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0051
1.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0444
3.15***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9531
63.93***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days