V-Lab
Onterris Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
63.74%
decreased by 0.69%
1 Week
66.33%
increased by 1.90%
1 Month
66.10%
increased by 1.67%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0306 | 0.92 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2125 | 2.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1046 | 1.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.0267 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4949 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.295
Half-life:
1 days
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