Onterris Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
56.15%
increased by 3.77%
1 Week
59.00%
increased by 6.62%
1 Month
62.05%
increased by 9.67%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 24, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8242 | 20.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2490 | 14.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4863 | 32.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0502 | 1.80* |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
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