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V-Lab

Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

140.41%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

141.56%

increased by 0.78%

1 Month

145.79%

increased by 5.01%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4217
1.35
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9616
89.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0571
2.85***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

70 days