V-Lab
Skyline Builders Group HLD Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
140.41%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
141.56%
increased by 0.78%
1 Month
145.79%
increased by 5.01%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4217 | 1.35 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9616 | 89.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0571 | 2.85*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
70 days
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