V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
34.57%
decreased by 2.45%
1 Week
34.38%
decreased by 2.64%
1 Month
33.70%
decreased by 3.32%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0536 | 28.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1259 | 34.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8385 | 347.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0377 | 6.32*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
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